Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.479135 5.990355 6.549394 7.210018 7.974466 8.837543 9.894726
2025-02-16 4.639773 5.327564 6.138482 7.180734 8.508569 10.178405 12.496721
2025-02-23 4.203144 4.988063 5.962673 7.293424 9.117023 11.618022 15.487433
2025-03-02 3.769363 4.572555 5.605367 7.076394 9.201565 12.314267 17.568816
2025-03-09 3.460926 4.274193 5.350576 6.939312 9.342453 13.077561 19.927409
2025-03-16 3.237577 4.061669 5.180648 6.886450 9.579244 14.010472 22.846918
2025-03-23 3.119628 3.978025 5.175263 7.064490 10.190017 15.678618 27.782846
2025-03-30 2.913075 3.752476 4.943063 6.863623 10.139671 16.149842 30.384167
2025-04-06 2.729844 3.546652 4.721838 6.653774 10.038501 16.496047 32.841451
2025-04-13 2.568257 3.361471 4.516941 6.448291 9.913545 16.764716 35.232160
2025-04-20 2.456713 3.242417 4.403152 6.380628 10.028387 17.553175 39.482764
2025-04-27 2.418364 3.228674 4.449309 6.585250 10.684952 19.689166 49.340563
2025-05-04 2.356424 3.182924 4.453034 6.738365 11.314525 22.087768 63.156367
2025-05-11 2.265192 3.088285 4.373567 6.739302 11.646542 23.913960 77.571788
2025-05-18 2.201894 3.032506 4.352457 6.844035 12.223394 26.656662 102.057022
2025-05-25 2.090319 2.893816 4.182265 6.646564 12.081288 27.239155 115.252529
2025-06-01 2.000633 2.785287 4.055961 6.521603 12.089329 28.318795 135.518390
2025-06-08 1.930930 2.705188 3.972930 6.473383 12.274979 30.090086 168.966181
2025-06-15 1.899874 2.685916 3.993706 6.635730 13.019855 34.277268 256.658003
2025-06-22 1.818444 2.579708 3.854062 6.452555 12.832657 34.788007 297.818961
2025-06-29 1.741125 2.477181 3.715693 6.260939 12.595792 35.025549 339.968798
2025-07-06 1.669175 2.380858 3.583788 6.073058 12.343956 35.126572 385.329467
2025-07-13 1.619547 2.320005 3.513066 6.011136 12.436334 36.858174 513.386500